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22 Ekim 2026 analist değerlendirmesi
Publication Status: Analyst AssessmentPrice Cutoff: 201.72 USD — 21 Ekim 2026 — 16:00 EDT / 23:00 TSİ kapanışıMethod: BGAM-SC-v1.0Research Date: 22 Ekim 2026

AI Infrastructure · Equity

Palantir Technologies

PLTR·Enterprise Software·US·BGAM-EQ-006
Updated: 22 Ekim 2026·Horizon: 2026–2030

BGAM™ SCORE

77.85

BGAM-SC-v1.0 total score

Quality (ex-valuation): 85.39

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BGAM VIEW

Strong business quality; price and risk assessed together. Position size not determined.

DECISION CONFIDENCE

Orta

VALUATION INDICATOR

GAAP 123.00x — Fiyat / (son çeyrek EPS × 4)

Score Breakdown

Yapısal büyüme / Structural Growth
15%95

Commercial AI adoption is rapid.

Ekosistemde kritik rol / Ecosystem Criticality
15%80

Operational decision software is significant.

Rekabet avantajı / Competitive Moat
12%85

Integration and workflow lock-in is strong.

Finansal güç / Financial Strength
10%95

High liquidity and GAAP profit.

Teknoloji liderliği / Technology Leadership
10%85

Product capability; uniqueness is not assumed.

Değerleme cazibesi / Valuation Attractiveness
10%10

Very high EPS multiple.

Sermaye verimliliği / Capital Efficiency
8%85

Low capex; SBC cost to be monitored.

Jeopolitik dayanıklılık / Geopolitical Resilience
8%60

Government/country policy and data regulation.

Yenilik potansiyeli / Innovation Pipeline
7%90

AI application areas may expand.

Yönetimin uygulama başarısı / Management Execution
5%90

Growth and margin are advancing together.

Conditional Scenarios

Conditional analyst scenarios; no numerical terminal price or probability generated. Not a substitute for a full valuation model.

Bear

Demand growth slows; margin or multiple pressure limits shareholder return.

Base

Current product and customer position is maintained; growth gradually converts to cash generation.

Bull

New product and capacity gains deliver sustainable per-share cash growth.

Investment Drivers

1

US commercial AI adoption

2

GAAP profitability and cash generation

3

International expansion potential

Risk Radar

High valuationHigh
SBC and share countMedium
Government policy/contract riskMedium

Catalyst Timeline 2026–2030

2026 Q3

Commercial growth and guidance test

2027–2030

International expansion and per-share FCF; conditional

VERIFIED FINANCIAL FINDINGS

Q2 revenue $1.935B (+93%); US commercial growth 149%. GAAP operating margin 47%; CFO $1.216B, capex $14.554M. SBC $265.209M; liquid cash/Treasury assets $9.2B. FY26 revenue guidance $8.150–8.158B.

VALUATION INDICATOR

GAAP 123.00x; adjusted 123.00x. October 21 closing price / (most recently reported quarterly EPS × 4). Mechanical quarterly annualisation: not TTM, forward P/E, company guidance, price target, or fair value.

Update note: All ten sub-scores are new analyst judgement; classification not auto-derived from total. Prior card score not copied.

Research Disclosure: BGAM scores and scenarios are analyst assessments. This material is provided for research and information purposes and does not constitute personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.

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